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Thursday, 25 October 2007



There was a time when having armies was because one was *existentially threatened* by foreign states. I mean, that's why they are there, because there was always a threat of direct invasion or against one's vital interests by some Napoleon, Bismarck, Hitler, Stalin, Saddam or whoever. Pray tell, what are the threats a *conventional army* is supposed to fight today? Fighting Al Qaeda with tanks and planes is about as effective as Polish cavalry against German panzers. Who are the threats? The tin pot armies of Iran and the DPRK? The *Russians again*?

No, the Americans are not *serious* when it comes to their security policy. If Europe isn't squandering as much of her wealth its military-industrial complexes as America is because there is no real need. This could change, say if China actually did become a credible threat (although, to be honest, I think Chinese power will be fairly easy to balance with Japanese/Russian/American in the future, and besides, it's not clear how western Europe will be threatened by military power in East Asia).

I think, in reality, the US, France and Germany will work together when events dictate it. If Iran were really, undeniably threatening, then they would probably work together. Same with China. If there are no threats, well, it doesn't matter who is in the White House, the Bundestag or the Elysee, there's nothing to cooperate on.


You should take a look at the Wounded Warriors Project. It raises awareness for severely wounded combat U.S. combat veterans in Iraq and Afghanistan. It really puts a face on the cost of the war. Here's a link:



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